Citas bibligráficas
Reyes, C., (2021). Caso de estudio: impacto de incertidumbre económica de China en el bienestar de la población de Perú y Chile, período 2000-2019 [Universidad de Lima]. https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12724/15081
Reyes, C., Caso de estudio: impacto de incertidumbre económica de China en el bienestar de la población de Perú y Chile, período 2000-2019 []. PE: Universidad de Lima; 2021. https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12724/15081
@misc{renati/1435512,
title = "Caso de estudio: impacto de incertidumbre económica de China en el bienestar de la población de Perú y Chile, período 2000-2019",
author = "Reyes Villanes, César Alejandro",
publisher = "Universidad de Lima",
year = "2021"
}
The Chinese economy has undergone in the last 4 decades various reforms of an economic-productive nature that could consolidate it as the world's leading economic power, if respect for the rules of international free trade is maintained. China, among other effects, originated more copper imports from countries such as Peru and Chile. Both, with antecedents and relevant weight of the mining activity in their GDP and that were benefited by the greater export of the mineral. Likewise, monetary poverty in Peru and Chile fell significantly during the period under study, which could lead us to infer a probable connection between the performance of the Chinese economy and the social welfare of copper-exporting countries. In order to measure this, the econometric model was developed and applied in PD Fixed Effects, which links the monetary poverty rate with copper exports, GDP per capita, the terms of trade and the infrastructure gap in drinking water and electricity. The model indicates that, although the higher volume of copper exports is negatively related to the poverty rate of the countries evaluated, it loses explanatory power when the other variables of the model express inefficient use of the greater State resources (tax collection). Resources that had to solve infrastructure gaps or increase non-traditional productive capacity and value added in the country. In a comparative way, the Chilean government resolved the reduction of monetary poverty more effectively than Peru, during the analysis period. From the above, China's economic performance does not ensure an improvement in the social welfare of the copper-exporting countries, unless there are parallel actions that address the infrastructure gaps and the greater capacity and productive diversity of the country.
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