Bibliographic citations
Otoya, N., Calvo, S. (2017). Percepción sobre cambio climático de la población en los sectores aledaños al mar de la ciudad de Chimbote [Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina]. https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12996/2801
Otoya, N., Calvo, S. Percepción sobre cambio climático de la población en los sectores aledaños al mar de la ciudad de Chimbote []. PE: Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina; 2017. https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12996/2801
@misc{sunedu/3012984,
title = "Percepción sobre cambio climático de la población en los sectores aledaños al mar de la ciudad de Chimbote",
author = "Calvo Jara, Sara Mercedes del Carmen",
publisher = "Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina",
year = "2017"
}
The objective of this research is to evaluate the perception on climate change of the inhabitants of the sectors bordering the sea in the city of Chimbote, through the application of surveys and prospective techniques. This city was chosen for its economic and ecological importance, as well as for its serious environmental and institutional deterioration which characteristics give it high vulnerability to climate change. The study had two stages. The first consisted of simple random sampling surveys of 430 coastal residents in order to assess their perception and attitude towards climate change. The second stage involved the collection of documents, the participation of experts and the use of prospective analysis techniques for the elaboration of scenarios of vulnerability to 2030, for which it was taken as reference the methods of strategic prospecting MICMAC, MACTOR and SMIC determining the variables and strategic actors from which the most likely vulnerability scenarios were generated.It was found that the population is familiar but not very sensitive to climate change and since they are exposed to problems related to the satisfaction of their basic needs, the reduction of their effects is not considered a priority. However, 79% of the population is willing to engage in activities related to it, which is a good precedent for the implementation of any strategy. It was determined that the variables with the greatest current and potential influence on Chimbote's vulnerability to climate change are those related to political, institutional, educational and social aspects (Table 20). It is concluded, according to the most probable trend scenario (Table 23), that the reduction of vulnerability to 2030 is possible but not yet probable (21.9%), the latest is based on the actions that are taken in the present, taking into account the analyzed variables.
This item is licensed under a Creative Commons License